GSRILIVE · MONITORING
REGIMENORMAL
2008 GFC LEAD+376D
GSRI VS VIX+69D EARLIER
ERAS VALIDATED13
CALM FALSE POSITIVES0
MRG4-HOP CAUSAL GRAPH
PUBLICATION GATES10 / 10
RIPPLE CARDS3–5 / WK
LOOK-AHEAD BIASZERO
Calamity AI — Research Studio
EST. 2026

Risk and market intelligence for people who need to see it coming.

Calamity AI builds analytics platforms that surface what standard tools miss — the slow structural decay that precedes a dislocation, and the second-order effects that ripple through a market before they are priced in.

+376d
2008 Early Warning
GSRI before Lehman
13
Eras Validated
Zero look-ahead bias
2
Research Products
SRX · MRG
GSRI — Structural decay, detected before the dislocation · 2007–2009
Walk-Forward
ELEVATED — 50FIRST WARNING · SEPT 27, 2007GSRI CROSSES ELEVATEDLEHMAN · +376D
376 trading days of warning before LehmanVIX crossed 30 on Nov 12, 2007 — 69 days later
Products
Approach

We build detectors,
not predictors.

Most tools react to the obvious. A volatility index spikes with the crash; a headline is priced in the moment it prints. The edge is upstream — in the structural deterioration and the second-order consequences that build before the market reacts.

Both products share a discipline: validate against history with zero look-ahead bias, verify mechanisms rather than trusting model output, and stay quiet when nothing is happening so that a signal means something.

CALAMITY AI

Research prototypes only. All metrics, scenarios, and ripple cards are for analytical demonstration purposes. Not financial advice. Not a registered investment adviser. Not a regulated exchange or trading venue.

Index