GSRILIVE · MONITORING
REGIMENORMAL
2008 GFC LEAD+376D
GSRI VS VIX+69D EARLIER
ERAS VALIDATED13
CALM FALSE POSITIVES0
MRG4-HOP CAUSAL GRAPH
PUBLICATION GATES10 / 10
RIPPLE CARDS3–5 / WK
LOOK-AHEAD BIASZERO
Calamity AI — Research StudioEST. 2026
Risk and market intelligence for people who need to see it coming.
Calamity AI builds analytics platforms that surface what standard tools miss — the slow structural decay that precedes a dislocation, and the second-order effects that ripple through a market before they are priced in.
+376d
2008 Early WarningGSRI before Lehman
13
Eras ValidatedZero look-ahead bias
2
Research ProductsSRX · MRG
Products
Approach
We build detectors,
not predictors.
Most tools react to the obvious. A volatility index spikes with the crash; a headline is priced in the moment it prints. The edge is upstream — in the structural deterioration and the second-order consequences that build before the market reacts.
Both products share a discipline: validate against history with zero look-ahead bias, verify mechanisms rather than trusting model output, and stay quiet when nothing is happening so that a signal means something.